The data wall
Running out of high-quality training data.
Table 4 · Section 5.5
Seven bottlenecks on the way
Frictions that could slow or halt progress along the pathways. Whether each is negligible or decisive is itself an open research question. Filter by type, or tap for detail.
7 result(s)
Economic & natural resources
Energy, capital and materials for ever-larger compute.
Sufficiency of the neural paradigm
Maybe today's approach hits 'natural' limits.
Increasing research difficulty
Each advance needs ever more effort to find.
The abstraction barrier
Can machines form the abstractions needed to go further?
Deliberate slowdown
Regulation, safety and coordination choices.
Physical & fundamental limits
Physics, complexity and logic set hard ceilings.